IonQ's roadmap puts 10,000 physical qubits on a single chip in 2027.

IonQ said this on 2025-06-13. The Ledger scores it on 2027-12-31, against criteria fixed on 2026-09-23.

Tracking

What was said

2027: 10,000 physical qubits on a single chip.

company blog (roadmap), IonQ, 2025-06-13

Archived copy: https://web.archive.org/web/20250617073547/https://www.ionq.com/blog/ionqs-accelerated-roadmap-turning-quantum-ambition-into-reality

How it is scored

Resolves VERIFIED if, by 31 Dec 2027 (plus grace), IonQ has demonstrated a single chip with at least 10,000 physical qubits trapped, controlled and running gates, confirmed by IonQ plus independent reporting or a paper. PARTIALLY_VERIFIED if the chip has 10,000 trap sites but fewer operate as qubits, or if 10,000 qubits are reached across more than one chip. NOT_VERIFIED otherwise.

Sources that will settle it: https://investors.ionq.com/news, https://www.ionq.com/blog, https://arxiv.org/list/quant-ph/recent.

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